Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 1.221455 1.383751 1.561132 1.769642 2.008359 2.273497 2.590822
2025-11-16 0.959668 1.168182 1.414169 1.726736 2.114716 2.582248 3.191029
2025-11-23 0.779362 1.006732 1.292525 1.680187 2.195495 2.861342 3.794014
2025-11-30 0.692713 0.942520 1.274511 1.751694 2.426069 3.354071 4.743388
2025-12-07 0.615687 0.876392 1.240118 1.790229 2.611012 3.805770 5.704958
2025-12-14 0.540705 0.800576 1.178896 1.777357 2.714334 4.148475 6.554751
2025-12-21 0.468183 0.717553 1.094427 1.714766 2.728535 4.351613 7.210978
2025-12-28 0.437714 0.693726 1.094995 1.781694 2.952294 4.911856 8.536058
2026-01-04 0.411491 0.672721 1.096252 1.847854 3.180854 5.508083 10.015854
2026-01-11 0.382811 0.643847 1.080391 1.881449 3.355235 6.030953 11.443079
2026-01-18 0.356791 0.616194 1.062777 1.908454 3.519175 6.554193 12.952275
2026-01-25 0.320887 0.567223 1.002272 1.849332 3.513042 6.753444 13.842456
2026-02-01 0.283363 0.512207 0.926415 1.754858 3.431253 6.803416 14.453454
2026-02-08 0.260657 0.482116 0.893239 1.738694 3.503354 7.174600 15.826494
2026-02-15 0.238378 0.450503 0.853771 1.705091 3.534854 7.465269 17.071166
2026-02-22 0.231289 0.447419 0.869046 1.784914 3.817584 8.340081 19.846540
2026-03-01 0.220748 0.436341 0.867102 1.828016 4.025545 9.078829 22.433019
2026-03-08 0.205841 0.414861 0.841609 1.816779 4.108547 9.539734 24.401443
2026-03-15 0.187685 0.384876 0.795310 1.753650 4.061705 9.682135 25.554869
2026-03-22 0.182583 0.381998 0.806451 1.822721 4.341332 10.673029 29.232077
2026-03-29 0.177615 0.378885 0.816673 1.890793 4.628171 11.728154 33.316114
2026-04-05 0.170382 0.370047 0.813167 1.925369 4.834736 12.605090 37.061917
2026-04-12 0.163179 0.360572 0.807211 1.953126 5.027399 13.475328 40.977544